Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2be…3c35
sports · 8 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$37 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$20
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses2 / 4
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)6 / 8
History coverage4d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 1 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$61
7 days+$37
14 days+$37
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic Katie Boulter 54¢ 54¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $102 +$36 +36%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 13 $11 −$1 -6%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $144 +$34 +24%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $52 −$5 -10%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $52 −$3 -6%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $25 −$24 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 75% $0
other 25% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekic BUY Katie Boulter 54¢ $20 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $79 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $11 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 64¢ $11 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 65¢ $11 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $11 5h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $0 14h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $78 14h
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) AND Spread: Germany (-3.5) AND Spread: Austria BUY $5 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $40 24h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 51¢ $41 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 40¢ $46 37h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 49¢ $49 37h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 43¢ $49 37h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Emma Raducanu 49¢ $100 37h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 49¢ $3 47h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $3 47h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $3 47h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $2 47h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 49¢ $25 47h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 49¢ $75 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 51¢ $9 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $5 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $15 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $25 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $32 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $34 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $34 2d
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 50¢ $9 3d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -10.4% -19.0% 33% 33% -0.9%
≤30d 6 -10.4% -19.0% 33% 33% -0.9%
≤90d 6 -10.4% -19.0% 33% 33% -0.9%
all 6 -10.4% -19.0% 33% 33% -0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.0% 33% -0.9%
10% -26.7% 33% -10.4%
15% -33.8% 17% -19.0%
20% -40.3% 0% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.81 · official $24.81 · 30 history records