trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 12% | 12% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 11% | 11% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 11% | 11% | -10.0% |
| all | 24 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 42% | 4% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 4% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $41 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +18% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $75 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 10 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 08 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Microsoft buy TikTok? | Dec 14 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 23 | $11 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | May 17 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tim Stokely buy TikTok before July? | May 16 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Ethereum all time high by June 30? | May 15 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 13 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | May 12 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Minnesota Vikings? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | Apr 17 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28? | Mar 28 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross between 34-39m on opening weekend? | Mar 21 | $12 | $0 | -0% |