Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:24:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe2b8…6c7a
crypto · 131 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$104 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$105 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$105
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses78 / 51
Open positions2
Markets (closed)129 / 131
History coverage11d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day19.0
Drawdown41%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 129 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$86
14 days+$105
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$22 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$12 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$26 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$16 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$39 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$11 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$2 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$105
other 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $52 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $30 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 1h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $8 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)+2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +16.6% +5.5% 63% 63% +5.4%
≤30d 129 +13.5% +2.7% 60% 60% +3.4%
≤90d 129 +13.5% +2.7% 60% 60% +3.4%
all 129 +13.5% +2.7% 60% 60% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +2.7% 60% +3.4%
10% -7.1% 53% -6.5%
15% -16.1% 44% -15.5%
20% -24.3% 35% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.36 · official $2.36 (match) · 235 history records