trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +12.5% | +1.8% | 54% | 54% | +21.8% |
| ≤30d | 30 | +8.5% | -1.9% | 53% | 53% | +18.3% |
| ≤90d | 30 | +8.5% | -1.9% | 53% | 53% | +18.3% |
| all | 30 | +8.5% | -1.9% | 53% | 53% | +18.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.9% | 53% | +18.3% |
| 10% | -11.3% | 53% | +7.0% |
| 15% | -19.8% | 47% | -3.4% |
| 20% | -27.7% | 30% | -12.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 28¢ | 18¢ | $10 | $7 | −$3 (-34%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND | Jun 21 | $194 | +$548 | +282% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,091 | +$554 | +51% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5 AND | Jun 20 | $102 | +$274 | +268% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 20 | $505 | +$230 | +46% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $204 | +$368 | +180% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Australia? | Jun 19 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $508 | +$534 | +105% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $214 | −$210 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Korea Republic? | Jun 19 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $640 | −$386 | -60% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $34 | −$33 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 18 | $23 | −$22 | -97% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $506 | +$144 | +28% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $304 | −$217 | -72% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 18 | $505 | +$241 | +48% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $559 | +$587 | +105% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $31 | −$30 | -97% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $362 | −$358 | -99% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $101 | +$65 | +64% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $505 | +$233 | +46% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $202 | +$101 | +50% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $305 | +$426 | +140% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $402 | −$397 | -99% |
| Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $400 | +$415 | +104% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $7 | +$2 | +25% |