trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 76% | 76% | +8.1% |
| ≤30d | 25 | +12.6% | +1.9% | 76% | 76% | -55.6% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +12.6% | +1.9% | 76% | 76% | -55.6% |
| all | 25 | +12.6% | +1.9% | 76% | 76% | -55.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.9% | 76% | -55.6% |
| 10% | -7.9% | 52% | -59.8% |
| 15% | -16.8% | 48% | -63.7% |
| 20% | -24.9% | 40% | -67.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 73¢ | 92¢ | $50 | $63 | +$13 (+26%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 58¢ | 57¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 8¢ | 1¢ | $160 | $22 | −$138 (-86%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $101 | +$91 | +90% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 27 | $100 | +$17 | +17% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Jun 27 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $50 | +$12 | +24% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 26 | $51 | +$31 | +62% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $50 | +$9 | +19% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $50 | +$19 | +38% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $50 | +$9 | +18% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $50 | +$21 | +42% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $50 | +$10 | +20% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 22 | $50 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $51 | +$30 | +60% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$53 | +52% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$33 | +65% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $2,777 | −$2,777 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | Jun 15 | $111 | +$21 | +19% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $200 | +$178 | +89% |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Jun 03 | $100 | +$122 | +122% |