Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:09:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe29c…a31d
sports · 1159 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,018 +26%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$628 · open +$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$77
Realized+$628
Unrealized+$27
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses451 / 699
Est. fees paid−$129
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1150 / 1159
History coverage29d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day74.5
Drawdown92%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 8 History 1150 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$152
14 days+$569
30 days+$628
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Yes 30¢ 100¢ $13 $42 +$29 (+233%)
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? No 49¢ 72¢ $12 $17 +$6 (+48%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Over 34¢ 47¢ $6 $9 +$2 (+38%)
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 17¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-23%)
CD Concepción vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 Over 29¢ 16¢ $6 $3 −$2 (-43%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 Over 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Over 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $8 +$16 +188%
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $0 +$1 +212%
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +186%
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $6 −$5 -73%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 +$13 +212%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: CD Palestino (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CD Huachipato win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
CSD Colo-Colo vs. CD Cobresal: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $17 +$2 +9%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +108%
CD Ñublense vs. CD Huachipato: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $12 +$6 +44%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $14 +$9 +67%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $20 +$76 +370%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $6 +$17 +300%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 +$14 +284%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $18 +$10 +59%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Palestino: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 +$5 +92%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
CD Coquimbo Unido vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 +$8 +499%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +72%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $3 +$11 +380%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $26 +$22 +82%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +245%
COD Meknès vs. RCA Zemamra: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $7 +$12 +156%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$15 +426%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$500
other 13% +$164
finance 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
CD Concepción vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 29¢ $6 24m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 27¢ $1 25m
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $4 26m
Will CD Limache win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 26m
Will CD Concepción win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 49¢ $12 26m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 34¢ $6 30m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 30¢ $1 49m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 30¢ $4 50m
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 30¢ $8 50m
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $1 1h
Will IR Tanger win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 34¢ $8 1h
Raja Club Athletic vs. UnionTouargaSports: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 29¢ $6 1h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 32¢ $0 2h
AS FAR vs. Wydad Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 35¢ $1 2h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 8¢ $2 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 16¢ $0 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 16¢ $1 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 16¢ $2 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $1 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $5 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $2 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $5 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 30¢ $7 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 35¢ $8 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 16¢ $0 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 22¢ $4 12h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 32¢ $6 13h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 13¢ $3 15h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 8¢ $2 15h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 12¢ $0 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +31.6% +19.0% 42% 41% +11.7%
≤30d 1150 +17.1% +6.0% 39% 39% -2.5%
≤90d 1150 +17.1% +6.0% 39% 39% -2.5%
all 1150 +17.1% +6.0% 39% 39% -2.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.0% 39% -2.5%
10% ← realistic here -4.2% 38% -11.8%
15% -13.4% 37% -20.4%
20% -21.9% 35% -28.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $76.69 · official $76.69 (match) · 3500 history records