Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe29b…5175
other · 93 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$28 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$178
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses31 / 61
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions1
Markets (closed)92 / 93
History coverage461d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 1 History 92 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 94¢ 93¢ $178 $178 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $178 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Jun 11 $177 $0 +0%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 10 $161 $0 -0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 09 $108 $0 +0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Jun 09 $6 −$1 -11%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $339 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 08 $22 −$2 -8%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 07 $163 $0 +0%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Jun 06 $81 $0 +0%
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Jun 06 $134 $0 -0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 05 $7 $0 +1%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 05 $392 +$3 +1%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 05 $361 −$1 -0%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Jun 02 $161 $0 +0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab May 27 $165 $0 -0%
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? May 13 $251 $0 +0%
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the Apr 26 $132 $0 +0%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 25 $20 +$2 +8%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? Apr 23 $63 +$2 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 1160-1199 tweets in April 2026? Apr 23 $96 −$1 -1%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 16 $59 −$6 -10%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 16 $19 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Apr 15 $1,117 −$1 -0%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 15 $1,029 −$15 -2%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 15 $13 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 14 $376 +$44 +12%
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 14 $187 +$1 +1%
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? Jul 13 $11 $0 +0%
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2025? Jul 13 $2 $0 -20%
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? Jul 13 $18 $0 -0%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series? Jul 13 $1 $0 +7%
Will Chelsea win the FIFA Club World Cup? Jul 13 $19 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Jul 13 $13 $0 -0%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jul 13 $12 $0 -1%
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? Jul 12 $34 $0 +0%
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? Jul 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July? Jul 12 $11 $0 +0%
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jul 12 $22 $0 -0%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jul 11 $19 $0 -0%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? Jul 11 $10 $0 -0%
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 Jul 11 $9 $0 +1%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb Jul 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? Jul 10 $12 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Jul 10 $9 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in July? Jul 10 $2 $0 +0%
Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 National League Championshi Jul 10 $15 −$1 -6%
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 10 $10 $0 +0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jul 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? Jul 09 $39 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? Jul 09 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 50% +$2
politics 22% −$15
other 18% −$2
sports 7% +$40
crypto 1% $0
culture 1% $0
tech 1% +$2
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $178 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $42 14h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $136 14h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $178 16h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? SELL No 86¢ $54 46h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? SELL No 86¢ $123 2d
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? BUY No 86¢ $177 2d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $21 2d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $140 2d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $161 2d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 27¢ $36 3d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 27¢ $36 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? SELL Yes 3¢ $6 3d
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? BUY Yes 4¢ $6 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $162 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $161 3d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $152 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $26 4d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $177 4d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? SELL Yes 12¢ $20 5d
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? BUY Yes 13¢ $22 5d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 29¢ $37 5d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 29¢ $17 5d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 29¢ $20 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $19 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $144 5d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $163 5d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? SELL Yes 45¢ $81 6d
US strike on Cuba by December 31? BUY Yes 45¢ $81 6d
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? SELL No 81¢ $35 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -2.1% -11.4% 22% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 15 -1.2% -10.6% 27% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 27 -0.2% -9.7% 37% 4% -9.1%
all 92 -0.1% -9.6% 34% 2% -9.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 2% -9.1%
10% -18.3% 0% -17.8%
15% -26.2% 0% -25.8%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $177.56 · official $177.56 (match) · 332 history records