Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:12:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe297…e484
sports · 646 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,038 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,971 · open −$63
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$1,971
Unrealized−$63
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses344 / 299
Est. fees paid−$164
Open positions3
Markets (closed)643 / 646
History coverage665d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 643 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$125
14 days−$161
30 days−$1,037
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 60¢ 91¢ $13 $20 +$7 (+52%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 55¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner G2 73¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Voca - Map 3 Winner M80 60¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 66¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 75¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Legacy 50¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs 9z 51¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs OG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Play-In OG 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffs Galorys 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 17¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner M80 19¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 34¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 54¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 GamerLegion 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner FOKUS 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 33¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) B8 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group A EDward Gaming Youth Team 57¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner GamerLegion 62¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $52 +$19 +38%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $56 +$4 +7%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $42 +$14 +33%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $28 +$28 +101%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $14 +$3 +23%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $13 +$1 +4%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 −$15 -54%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $19 +$2 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$6 -40%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$2 +22%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $19 −$7 -36%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$4 +31%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $45 −$16 -35%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $24 +$5 +22%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$10 +77%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $25 −$8 -34%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $31 −$31 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $41 +$22 +54%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $47 +$3 +7%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $13 +$24 +183%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $18 −$4 -25%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $22 +$4 +17%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $17 +$5 +27%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $14 +$4 +28%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 −$13 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $19 −$10 -52%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $13 −$3 -25%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 −$8 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 +$5 +27%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $14 +$7 +48%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - As Jun 10 $46 −$45 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $110 +$12 +11%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $132 −$33 -25%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $191 −$150 -78%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $31 −$30 -98%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $266 −$22 -8%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $54 +$25 +46%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $136 +$109 +80%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $76 +$61 +80%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $22 −$22 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 85% −$1,145
other 8% −$417
politics 5% −$492
world 1% −$10
crypto 1% +$15
tech 0% +$1
weather 0% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 60¢ $13 36m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 74¢ $37 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 55¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 55¢ $31 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 46¢ $24 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 47¢ $25 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 53¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Falcons 99¢ $71 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 91¢ $38 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 53¢ $38 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $40 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL G2 46¢ $40 2h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 51¢ $46 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $14 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Natus Vincere 100¢ $60 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 93¢ $56 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $56 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 77¢ $12 3h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 73¢ $30 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 99¢ $42 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 35¢ $15 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner SELL Natus Vincere 50¢ $15 4h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $4 5h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 45¢ $9 5h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 75¢ $17 6h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A SELL STATE 99¢ $17 18h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY STATE 80¢ $14 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 99¢ $14 19h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 95¢ $13 19h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 45¢ $12 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 80 -15.6% -23.7% 54% 46% -7.8%
≤30d 231 -12.8% -21.1% 54% 47% -20.5%
≤90d 611 -10.5% -19.0% 54% 45% -14.5%
all 643 -10.8% -19.3% 53% 44% -17.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.3% 44% -17.1%
10% -27.0% 35% -25.0%
15% -34.1% 25% -32.3%
20% -40.5% 18% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.07 · official $20.07 (match) · 2132 history records