Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:37:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe294…f0c8
crypto · 431 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$389 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$278 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$106
Realized+$278
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses301 / 130
Open positions0
Markets (closed)431 / 431
History coverage24d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day33.4
Drawdown80%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 431 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days+$18
14 days+$191
30 days+$278
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+22%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 66¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+45%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 21¢ 100¢ $1 $7 +$5 (+376%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$3 (+108%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+19%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+25%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+27%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+12%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$2 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$7 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $58 −$47 -80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$7 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $31 +$9 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$13 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$15 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +73%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$17 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$6 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$19 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$20 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +356%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$10 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$26 +170%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +148%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$22 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $38 +$6 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$16 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$17 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$3 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $16 +$3 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$9 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$29 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$7 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$278
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $21 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $58 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $17 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $17 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $12 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $40 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $12 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $17 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-4.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +9.2% -1.2% 72% 70% -9.0%
≤30d 431 +5.1% -4.9% 70% 68% -6.8%
≤90d 431 +5.1% -4.9% 70% 68% -6.8%
all 431 +5.1% -4.9% 70% 68% -6.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.9% 68% -6.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.0% 39% -15.7%
15% -22.3% 26% -23.9%
20% -29.9% 20% -31.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $105.63 · official $105.63 (match) · 1076 history records