Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:37:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe281…f411
sports · 176 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$369 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$369 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$369
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses76 / 100
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)176 / 176
History coverage218d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +121%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 29 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 29 $2 −$2 -100%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings May 23 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal May 23 $17 −$17 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru May 21 $11 −$11 -100%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Mumbai Indians May 14 $10 +$8 +81%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Banga May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders May 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants May 10 $10 +$11 +114%
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Islamabad United Apr 29 $23 −$23 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans - Who wins the Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titans Apr 09 $16 −$16 -100%
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Peshawar Zalmi - Who wins Apr 09 $2 +$2 +100%
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians - Who wins t Apr 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Rawalpindi Pindiz Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings Apr 06 $8 +$3 +41%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Punjab Kings - Who win Apr 06 $3 +$3 +89%
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants Apr 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians Apr 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 05 $10 +$11 +111%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Apr 03 $9 −$1 -8%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Apr 03 $12 +$18 +153%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Mavericks vs. Bucks Apr 01 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Bucks (-2.5) Apr 01 $18 −$8 -45%
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titans Apr 01 $4 +$6 +138%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders Mar 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hydera Mar 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Mar 19 $13 +$32 +251%
Flames vs. Capitals Mar 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11? Mar 12 $4 −$4 -100%
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatek Mar 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$457
sports 49% +$110
crypto 1% −$6
economics 0% −$14
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 15d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 15d
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 15d
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 15d
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 15d
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 15d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $3 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 15d
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 15d
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $2 15d
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 15d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 16¢ $3 22d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 15¢ $5 22d
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengal BUY Royal Challengers Bengaluru 29¢ $3 22d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 +1.7% -8.0% 62% 62% -7.5%
≤30d 23 -32.3% -38.7% 43% 43% -70.5%
≤90d 48 -23.3% -30.6% 40% 40% -29.6%
all 176 -16.8% -24.8% 43% 38% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.8% 38% -19.8%
10% -32.0% 32% -27.5%
15% -38.5% 26% -34.5%
20% -44.6% 21% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 536 history records