Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:09:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe280…ef5c
sports · 188 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$124
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses58 / 121
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions9
Markets (closed)179 / 188
History coverage61d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 9 History 179 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-7%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-6%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-7%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-25%)
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) Cruzeiro EC 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) CR Flamengo 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5) Fluminense FC 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) SE Palmeiras 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5) EC Bahia 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: Both Teams to Score Yes 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: CA Paranaense (-2.5) CA Paranaense 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) Cruzeiro EC 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) SC Corinthians Paulista 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5) Fluminense FC 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-26? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-29? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5) May 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5) May 03 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 03 $10 −$2 -20%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) May 03 $13 −$13 -98%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $30 −$30 -99%
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) May 03 $2 −$2 -98%
76ers vs. Celtics May 03 $3 −$3 -98%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $2 +$1 +70%
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $14 −$14 -99%
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) May 02 $2 −$2 -97%
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) May 02 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5) May 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) May 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5) May 02 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $1 −$1 -98%
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30? May 01 $2 +$4 +188%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 01 $5 +$13 +250%
Spread: Celtics (-5.5) May 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-04-30? May 01 $5 −$5 -98%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-29? Apr 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? Apr 29 $20 −$20 -98%
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) Apr 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) Apr 29 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 29 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Apr 29 $3 −$1 -36%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Apr 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-28? Apr 29 $15 +$20 +130%
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) Apr 29 $8 −$8 -98%
Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5) Apr 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $3 −$3 -98%
Will Club Libertad vs. Independiente del Valle end in a draw? Apr 28 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) Apr 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5) Apr 28 $3 −$1 -24%
Spread: Celtics (-10.5) Apr 28 $5 −$5 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? Apr 28 $28 −$27 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? Apr 28 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Apr 28 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Apr 28 $3 −$3 -95%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5) Apr 28 $1 −$1 -97%
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) Apr 28 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Apr 28 $2 −$2 -95%
Pistons vs. Magic Apr 28 $2 +$3 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Apr 28 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Apr 28 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Apr 28 $3 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Apr 28 $4 +$5 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 54% −$84
sports 40% +$46
crypto 6% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $5 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 1h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 1h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $15 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $15 1h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $26 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $21 1h
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5) BUY Fluminense FC 4¢ $2 40d
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5) BUY Fluminense FC 10¢ $1 40d
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 40d
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? SELL Yes 31¢ $8 40d
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) BUY CR Flamengo 42¢ $8 40d
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 67¢ $10 40d
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 40d
Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5) BUY CR Flamengo 17¢ $2 40d
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) BUY CR Flamengo 36¢ $5 40d
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 40d
76ers vs. Celtics BUY Celtics 42¢ $3 40d
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 41¢ $4 41d
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) BUY Cruzeiro EC 10¢ $2 41d
Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) BUY Cruzeiro EC 25¢ $3 41d
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 52¢ $10 41d
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 41d
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5) BUY SE Palmeiras 17¢ $2 41d
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) BUY SE Palmeiras 35¢ $5 41d
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 41d
Spread: Botafogo FR (-2.5) BUY Botafogo FR 20¢ $2 41d
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-25.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 179 -17.8% -25.7% 32% 32% -12.8%
all 179 -17.8% -25.7% 32% 32% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.7% 32% -12.8%
10% -32.8% 31% -21.2%
15% -39.3% 30% -28.8%
20% -45.2% 30% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $124.18 · official $124.18 (match) · 358 history records