Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe26c…0b5f
other · 59 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
−$28 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)21%
Wins / losses12 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)57 / 59
History coverage596d
Avg bet$289
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 2 History 57 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$5
14 days+$5
30 days+$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 100¢ 100¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+0%)
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? No 99¢ 99¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 11 $18 $0 -0%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $6 +$5 +83%
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 09 $9 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 05 $11 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $13 $0 -0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 03 $15 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 02 $14 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $160 in May? Jun 02 $28 $0 +0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $152 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $11 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $10 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 24 $11 $0 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec May 23 $13 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? May 22 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $73 $0 -0%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians May 18 $8 +$5 +60%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 11 $66 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 08 $69 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $67 $0 -0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 06 $69 $0 -0%
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 02 $68 $0 -0%
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? May 01 $68 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 30 $67 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $69 $0 -0%
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 24 $64 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $70 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 23 $66 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $70 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 19 $64 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $64 $0 -0%
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 17 $68 $0 -0%
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? Apr 11 $46 −$1 -2%
Sabres vs. Rangers Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $6 −$6 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $4 +$7 +165%
Bulls vs. Wizards Apr 08 $13 +$6 +48%
Predators vs. Kings Apr 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Red Wings vs. Flyers Apr 06 $8 +$8 +100%
Canadiens vs. Predators Apr 02 $23 −$23 -100%
Stars vs. Flyers Apr 02 $31 −$31 -100%
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Apr 02 $23 $0 +2%
Raptors vs. Clippers Mar 27 $35 +$21 +59%
Pelicans vs. Knicks Mar 25 $29 +$9 +30%
Nets vs. Kings Mar 24 $18 +$10 +56%
Trump out as President by March 31? Mar 06 $87 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? Mar 05 $4 $0 +2%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Dec 31 $13,552 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 07 $2 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 18 $14 −$1 -5%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jul 19 $12 $0 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 80% −$14
politics 12% −$9
other 6% +$5
sports 1% −$10
culture 0% $0
crypto 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $12 1h
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $17 31h
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $18 34h
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $9 3d
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $9 3d
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 54¢ $6 3d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $11 7d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $11 7d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 8d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 8d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $15 9d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $15 9d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $14 10d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $14 10d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $13 12d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $13 12d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $11 13d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $11 13d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $10 14d
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 14d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $22 17d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $11 19d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $11 19d
Will Solana reach $160 in May? BUY No 100¢ $28 19d
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec SELL No 100¢ $13 20d
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec BUY No 100¢ $13 20d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $10 21d
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $10 21d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $73 24d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $73 24d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +27.4% +15.3% 33% 33% +4.2%
≤30d 16 +8.8% -1.6% 19% 12% -7.4%
≤90d 44 +2.2% -7.5% 23% 18% -9.7%
all 57 +1.5% -8.2% 21% 14% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.2% 14% -9.7%
10% -16.9% 14% -18.3%
15% -25.0% 12% -26.2%
20% -32.3% 11% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.38 · official $34.38 (match) · 249 history records