trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 100% | 0% | -6.8% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 80% | 20% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 80% | 20% | -8.1% |
| all | 13 | -2.1% | -11.4% | 69% | 15% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.4% | 15% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -19.9% | 15% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 15% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 0% | -35.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $38 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 26 | $2 | +$1 | +37% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | May 23 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Jack Draper win Wimbledon 2025? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 09 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Cade Cunningham win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved? | Mar 23 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 24? | Feb 24 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Gonzaga vs. Washington State | Feb 23 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election? | Feb 23 | $3 | +$1 | +41% |