Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:18:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe252…a642
crypto · 745 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$475 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$471 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$78
Realized−$471
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses411 / 311
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions23
Markets (closed)722 / 745
History coverage66d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 23 History 722 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days+$3
14 days+$11
30 days+$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? Yes 49¢ 75¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+53%)
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election? No 94¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 10¢ 14¢ $4 $5 +$2 (+45%)
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes 12¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+12%)
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? No 21¢ 22¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 84¢ 85¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? No 84¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026? Yes 92¢ 88¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 20¢ 45¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+132%)
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? No 99¢ 92¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 60¢ 56¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes 25¢ 28¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+12%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 31¢ 54¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+73%)
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? No 35¢ 24¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-31%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes 20¢ 22¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? No 35¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? No 12¢ 6¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026? No 8¢ 9¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No 19¢ 19¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 72¢ 19¢ $4 $1 −$3 (-73%)
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? No 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-97%)
Will Dusty Johnson win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election? Yes 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? Under 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalore - Completed match? No 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by betw Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary electio Jun 12 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$8 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$308
sports 9% −$118
weather 5% −$25
politics 5% +$43
other 4% −$42
world 3% −$39
tech 1% −$4
culture 0% +$2
finance 0% +$5
economics 0% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $16 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $15 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $15 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $15 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $15 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $15 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $15 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $15 10h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $15 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $15 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $15 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 13h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $15 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $15 14h
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary electio SELL Yes 18¢ $1 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-19.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 146 -5.6% -14.6% 75% 38% -9.3%
≤30d 238 +0.9% -8.7% 67% 42% -7.6%
≤90d 722 -10.8% -19.3% 57% 37% -17.3%
all 722 -10.8% -19.3% 57% 37% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.3% 37% -17.3%
10% -27.0% 26% -25.2%
15% -34.0% 19% -32.4%
20% -40.5% 14% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $78.44 · official $78.45 (match) · 1631 history records