Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:56:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe251…a237
crypto · 195 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,986 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,983 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,176
Realized−$1,983
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses104 / 149
Open positions2
Markets (closed)253 / 195
History coverage1d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day2881.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,983
7 days−$1,983
14 days−$1,983
30 days−$1,983
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 49¢ 100¢ $411 $834 +$423 (+103%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $145 $293 +$147 (+101%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $31 $42 +$11 (+34%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+122%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$3 (-97%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $582 −$582 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $116 −$116 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-32.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -25.6% -32.7% 41% 32% -18.9%
≤30d 253 -25.6% -32.7% 41% 32% -18.9%
≤90d 253 -25.6% -32.7% 41% 32% -18.9%
all 253 -25.6% -32.7% 41% 32% -18.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2881.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.7% 32% -18.9%
10% ← realistic here -39.1% 18% -26.7%
15% -45.0% 10% -33.8%
20% -50.4% 5% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,175.97 · official $1,174.88 (match) · 3500 history records