Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:24:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe250…ea7a
sports · 85 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$158 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$143 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$143
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses28 / 55
Est. fees paid−$29
Open positions2
Markets (closed)83 / 85
History coverage20d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day7.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 83 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$84
14 days−$61
30 days−$143
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 52¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 26¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 54¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Athletics 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Atlanta Braves 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Houston Astros 21¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics Athletics 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Minnesota Twins 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners Arizona Diamondbacks 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 11¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
O/U 1.5 Rounds Over 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 42¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card) Belal Muhammad 50¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 13 $15 −$1 -5%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $25 +$14 +55%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $10 +$40 +388%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $203 +$168 +83%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $315 −$300 -96%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 07 $20 −$20 -98%
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M Jun 07 $201 +$53 +26%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 +$7 +71%
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 Jun 06 $15 +$12 +79%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? Jun 05 $10 +$11 +109%
Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Mexico vs. Serbia end in a draw? Jun 04 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Nicaragua win on 2026-06-05? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Paraguay vs. Nicaragua end in a draw? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Mongolia win on 2026-06-05? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $15 −$15 -97%
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 04 $5 −$5 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $20 −$15 -74%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 Jun 04 $20 +$14 +70%
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 04 $20 +$14 +67%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 04 $20 −$12 -61%
Will Poland win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 03 $1 −$1 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 03 $41 +$35 +86%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $65 −$64 -98%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 02 $51 −$40 -79%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 02 $10 −$1 -7%
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 02 $30 +$23 +76%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 01 $10 −$10 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 01 $30 −$30 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Athletics May 31 $18 −$3 -16%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays May 31 $13 −$3 -23%
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates May 31 $11 −$1 -9%
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 May 31 $5 +$4 +82%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros May 31 $31 −$30 -98%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds May 31 $20 −$20 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 May 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $15 +$10 +68%
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 31 $25 +$17 +68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$123
other 4% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 52¢ $15 2h
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees SELL New York Yankees 51¢ $14 8h
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10 5d
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 56¢ $20 5d
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai SELL Brendan Allen 99¢ $39 6d
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai BUY Brendan Allen 63¢ $10 6d
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai BUY Brendan Allen 63¢ $15 6d
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) BUY Tom Nolan 20¢ $10 6d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Belal Muhammad 51¢ $101 6d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers BUY Texas Rangers 5¢ $5 6d
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M SELL Iwo Baraniewski 100¢ $255 6d
Athletics vs. Houston Astros BUY Athletics 6¢ $5 6d
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers BUY Texas Rangers 53¢ $15 6d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 52¢ $15 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? SELL Yes 99¢ $17 6d
Albania vs. Luxembourg: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 52¢ $10 6d
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 6d
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 7d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Belal Muhammad 50¢ $102 7d
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M BUY Iwo Baraniewski 80¢ $101 7d
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main BUY Bryce Mitchell 53¢ $101 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5 BUY Under 55¢ $15 7d
UFC Fight Night: Junior Tafa vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, M BUY Iwo Baraniewski 77¢ $101 7d
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main BUY Belal Muhammad 50¢ $102 7d
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main BUY Bryce Mitchell 55¢ $101 7d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 47¢ $10 8d
Will Guatemala vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 8d
Will Guatemala win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 8d
Will Serbia win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +1.6% -8.1% 42% 42% -18.6%
≤30d 83 -22.0% -29.4% 34% 34% -16.6%
≤90d 83 -22.0% -29.4% 34% 34% -16.6%
all 83 -22.0% -29.4% 34% 34% -16.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.4% 34% -16.6%
10% -36.2% 34% -24.6%
15% -42.3% 31% -31.8%
20% -48.0% 30% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.94 · official $1.94 (match) · 164 history records