Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:37:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe24f…614a
sports · 414 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$358 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$435 · open −$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$523
Realized−$435
Unrealized−$16
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses132 / 228
Est. fees paid−$80
Open positions54
Markets (closed)360 / 414
History coverage66d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day7.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 54 History 360 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$163
14 days−$558
30 days−$637
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 86¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+40%)
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: O/U 4.5 Over 8¢ 11¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+38%)
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 78¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+35%)
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 83¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+34%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 31¢ 36¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+15%)
Spread: CD Universidad Católica (-1.5) CD Universidad Católica 33¢ 38¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+14%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5 Under 13¢ 14¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Spain leading at halftime? No 30¢ 32¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Iraq vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 69¢ 74¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+8%)
Netherlands vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 74¢ 80¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 89¢ 94¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-14? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
England vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 94¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 2.5 Under 91¢ 95¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 2.5 Under 94¢ 98¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+5%)
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 91¢ 95¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Under 80¢ 84¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5 Under 89¢ 92¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 2.5 Under 91¢ 94¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) Athletics 31¢ 32¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? Yes 19¢ 20¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 158.5 Over 61¢ 62¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Fenerbahce 64¢ 65¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 2.5 Under 92¢ 93¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Northamptonshire Steelbacks vs Derbyshire Falcons Derbyshire Falcons 41¢ 42¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Olympic Dcheira leading at halftime? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
OC Safi leading at halftime? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Blues win? Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 14 $10 +$15 +152%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) Jun 14 $10 +$11 +109%
1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5) Jun 14 $6 +$4 +65%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 +$4 +44%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $10 +$3 +34%
Spread: CSD Colo-Colo (-1.5) Jun 14 $6 +$5 +86%
1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 +$5 +55%
Difaâ Hassani El Jadida vs. Olympic Dcheira: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
FathUnionSport vs. Maghreb AS de Fès: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Brazil vs Malawi Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Jun 12 $10 +$15 +152%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$6 +57%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $10 +$8 +83%
1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$5 +48%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
1st 5 Innings Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$6 +55%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Unics Kazan vs. CSKA Moscow Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Orebro SK (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Cattolica (Doubles): Jecan/Pavel vs Logrippo/Ricci Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $10 +$16 +158%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $10 +$23 +226%
Spread: Algeria (-2.5) Jun 11 $10 +$30 +291%
Legia Warszawa vs. Basket Zielona Gora Jun 10 $10 +$6 +58%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Bratislava: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Alexander Donski Jun 10 $10 +$4 +36%
Lyon (Doubles): Ruehl/Wehnelt vs Gomez/Shugar Jun 10 $10 +$2 +17%
Cattolica: Maks Kasnikowski vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Wales vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Billy Harris vs Clement Chidekh Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Mozambique win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Luxembourg vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will San Marino win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 09 $2 +$18 +1116%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$112
other 13% −$337
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
T20 Blast, League 2, Women: Northamptonshire Steelbacks vs Derbyshire BUY Derbyshire Falcons 41¢ $10 1h
Spread: Japan (-1.5) BUY Japan 29¢ $10 1h
Will UnionTouargaSports win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 1h
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 13¢ $10 2h
Fortaleza EC leading at halftime? BUY No 55¢ $10 2h
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 27¢ $10 4h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas BUY Fenerbahce 64¢ $10 4h
Colombia vs. Portugal: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 81¢ $10 5h
Spread: Athletics (-3.5) BUY Athletics 31¢ $10 5h
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Alba Berlin: O/U 158.5 BUY Over 61¢ $10 5h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) BUY New York Yankees 70¢ $10 5h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $10 29h
1st 5 Innings Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) BUY Detroit Tigers 75¢ $10 29h
1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) BUY Minnesota Twins 64¢ $10 29h
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 23¢ $10 37h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) BUY PortlandFire 47¢ $10 39h
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa BUY Quimsa 39¢ $10 39h
Scotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $10 40h
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 77¢ $10 42h
Japan vs. Sweden: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 79¢ $10 42h
Argentina vs. Austria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 79¢ $10 43h
Czechia vs. Mexico: Czechia O/U 2.5 BUY Under 91¢ $10 43h
Spain leading at halftime? BUY No 30¢ $10 43h
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 80¢ $10 44h
CA Nacional Potosí vs. CD Real Tomayapo: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $10 2d
Morocco vs. Haiti: Haiti 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 94¢ $10 2d
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 31¢ $10 2d
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) BUY Athletics 24¢ $10 2d
Spread: Egypt (-2.5) BUY Egypt 11¢ $10 2d
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 BUY Under 55¢ $10 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -2.8% -12.0% 41% 40% -23.7%
≤30d 315 -10.7% -19.2% 32% 31% -22.9%
≤90d 360 -2.3% -11.6% 37% 36% -17.8%
all 360 -2.3% -11.6% 37% 36% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 36% -17.8%
10% -20.1% 34% -25.7%
15% -27.8% 32% -32.9%
20% -34.9% 29% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $522.61 · official $522.67 (match) · 853 history records