Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:25:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe23c…2c63
sports · 49 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$289 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$294 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized+$294
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses15 / 29
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions5
Markets (closed)44 / 49
History coverage450d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 5 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$111
7 days+$111
14 days+$111
30 days+$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 40¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+10%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 48¢ $25 $20 −$5 (-18%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 +$3 +15%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$1 -14%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$6 -62%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $5 −$1 -23%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$7 -72%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 −$4 -77%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $51 +$58 +114%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Bosnia and Herzego Jun 12 $20 +$21 +102%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $20 +$60 +300%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $10 +$23 +226%
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? May 14 $80 −$60 -75%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Jason Day win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 12 $5 −$2 -32%
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 12 $10 −$8 -76%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 12 $30 −$1 -3%
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 12 $5 −$5 -91%
Chiefs vs. Giants Apr 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Apr 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Patriots vs. Broncos Apr 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Apr 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Australian Open Women's: Aryna Sabalenka vs Victoria Mboko Apr 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Apr 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bills vs. Broncos Apr 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? Apr 12 $35 −$35 -100%
WTA Cincinnati - Rybakina vs. Swiatek Apr 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? Apr 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Gary Anderson win the PDC World Darts Championship? Apr 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025? Dec 23 $370 +$96 +26%
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? Nov 05 $5 +$11 +216%
Patriots vs. Bills Oct 07 $20 +$71 +354%
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open? Sep 21 $10 +$23 +233%
Pacers vs. Thunder Jun 25 $20 +$75 +376%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York Jun 25 $10 +$93 +928%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? Jun 23 $6 −$6 -96%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia? Jun 06 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini May 17 $10 +$19 +185%
Celtics vs. Knicks May 17 $20 +$14 +72%
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? May 16 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? May 01 $140 +$101 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 62% −$30
sports 24% +$130
politics 13% +$196
world 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $23 1h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 51¢ $9 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 23¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 SELL Over 57¢ $4 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 11¢ $3 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 SELL Over 10¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 36¢ $20 19h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $25 19h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $5 19h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Over 42¢ $5 19h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $10 19h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $10 19h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $20 19h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $10 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $109 19h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $51 25h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Bosnia and Herzego BUY 49¢ $20 28h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 44h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $10 44h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $21 44h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $21 44h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 20¢ $39 44h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 64¢ $41 10d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $33 14d
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $10 14d
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $20 30d
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 52d
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 52d
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 28¢ $80 57d
Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? SELL Yes 18¢ $4 62d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)+8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +18.2% +6.9% 40% 40% +52.7%
≤30d 11 +37.1% +24.0% 45% 45% +61.2%
≤90d 31 -38.1% -44.0% 19% 19% -32.3%
all 44 +20.2% +8.7% 34% 34% +12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +8.7% 34% +12.8%
10% -1.7% 32% +2.0%
15% -11.2% 30% -7.9%
20% -19.9% 30% -16.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.16 · official $94.47 · 99 history records