Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:09:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe22a…cb75
sports · 290 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$2,562 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,562 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,562
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses136 / 154
Whale WR (big bets)40%
Est. fees paid−$1,165
Open positions0
Markets (closed)290 / 290
History coverage62d
Avg bet$267
Trades / day16.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$252
7 days−$87
14 days−$25,414
30 days−$14,567
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 62¢ 0¢ $303 $0 −$303 (-100%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers Samsung Lions 40¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Hanwha Eagles 52¢ 0¢ $303 $0 −$303 (-100%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Hanwha Eagles 47¢ 0¢ $202 $0 −$202 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 56¢ 0¢ $1,109 $0 −$1,109 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 53¢ 0¢ $164 $0 −$164 (-100%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers Kia Tigers 60¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres New York Mets 53¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 57¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers Lotte Giants 46¢ 0¢ $304 $0 −$304 (-100%)
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos LG Twins 62¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears Doosan Bears 63¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 60¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers Kiwoom Heroes 53¢ 0¢ $302 $0 −$302 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Over 54¢ 0¢ $216 $0 −$216 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 61¢ 0¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland Switzerland 54¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ 0¢ $305 $0 −$305 (-100%)
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers KT Wiz 54¢ 0¢ $307 $0 −$307 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $305 −$13 -4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $304 −$11 -4%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $43 +$796 +1843%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $305 −$280 -92%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $302 −$299 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $300 +$145 +48%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $306 +$264 +86%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 12 $309 −$305 -99%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 Jun 12 $306 −$302 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $306 −$22 -7%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $305 +$279 +91%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $295 +$299 +101%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $305 +$167 +55%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 10 $306 +$3 +1%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $305 −$2 -1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $306 −$14 -5%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $306 −$16 -5%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $301 −$19 -6%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 09 $307 −$19 -6%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 09 $307 −$9 -3%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Lotte Giants Jun 07 $301 +$289 +96%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers Jun 07 $309 −$307 -100%
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. Kia Tigers Jun 07 $305 −$300 -98%
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos Jun 07 $300 −$298 -99%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Doosan Bears Jun 07 $304 −$302 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $309 +$191 +62%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 Jun 06 $314 +$241 +77%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Jun 06 $307 −$302 -99%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $306 −$302 -99%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers Jun 04 $308 +$191 +62%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 04 $304 +$206 +68%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers Jun 04 $308 −$304 -99%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Jun 04 $304 −$303 -100%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 04 $306 −$305 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $1,122 −$1,109 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 03 $1,018 −$48 -5%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Jun 03 $304 −$74 -24%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 03 $303 +$203 +67%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 03 $305 −$303 -100%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers Jun 03 $306 −$302 -99%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers Jun 03 $304 −$300 -99%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 03 $306 +$263 +86%
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 03 $304 −$297 -98%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Jun 03 $306 +$169 +55%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 02 $306 −$302 -99%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks Jun 02 $148 +$119 +81%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 02 $208 +$73 +35%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers Jun 02 $205 +$102 +50%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 02 $202 +$128 +63%
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. SSG Landers Jun 02 $204 +$206 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$2,446
other 1% −$116
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 57¢ $293 54m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 63¢ $293 54m
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $839 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 5¢ $26 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $43 2h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $305 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $304 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $305 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 61¢ $302 4h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 99¢ $445 18h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 66¢ $300 27h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 61¢ $309 27h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5 BUY Over 53¢ $306 27h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 53¢ $306 28h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $37 45h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $85 45h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $5 45h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $105 45h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $10 45h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $5 45h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Atlanta Braves 50¢ $37 45h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 SELL Over 99¢ $584 46h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 99¢ $594 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $0 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $37 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $49 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $49 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $49 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $49 2d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 49¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +59.6% +44.4% 35% 31% -10.6%
≤30d 230 -21.8% -29.2% 35% 34% -29.8%
≤90d 290 +1.9% -7.8% 47% 45% -12.5%
all 290 +1.9% -7.8% 47% 45% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 45% -12.5%
10% -16.6% 44% -20.9%
15% -24.7% 44% -28.5%
20% -32.1% 42% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1153 history records