trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 21 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16? | May 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026? | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | May 16 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | May 16 | $15 | −$10 | -66% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | May 16 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 16 | $2 | $0 | -13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET | May 16 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev | May 16 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | May 16 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | May 16 | $10 | +$5 | +44% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | May 16 | $5 | +$2 | +31% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | May 16 | $5 | +$2 | +46% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -42.5% | -48.0% | 33% | 17% | -69.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -42.5% | -48.0% | 33% | 17% | -69.1% |
| all | 18 | -42.5% | -48.0% | 33% | 17% | -69.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.0% | 17% | -69.1% |
| 10% | -53.0% | 17% | -72.1% |
| 15% | -57.5% | 11% | -74.8% |
| 20% | -61.7% | 0% | -77.3% |