trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 40% | 36% | -4.7% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 40% | 36% | -4.7% |
| ≤90d | 25 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 40% | 36% | -4.7% |
| all | 25 | -4.9% | -14.0% | 40% | 36% | -4.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.0% | 36% | -4.7% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 32% | -13.9% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 28% | -22.2% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 28% | -29.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 79¢ | 90¢ | $60 | $69 | +$9 (+15%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 19 | $20 | −$2 | -12% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $19 | −$19 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $28 | −$22 | -80% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $31 | +$28 | +91% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $18 | −$18 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $45 | +$23 | +50% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 17 | $23 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 16 | $10 | −$1 | -8% |
| Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$8 | -82% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $30 | +$35 | +117% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -90% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$12 | +78% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$19 | +123% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 S | Jun 15 | $10 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $11 | +$6 | +53% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $6 | +$15 | +249% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -40% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +32% |