Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:27:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe217…9cbd
weather · 637 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$57 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses494 / 135
Open positions8
Markets (closed)629 / 637
History coverage92d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day18.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 8 History 629 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$19
14 days−$10
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? No 40¢ 40¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13? No 85¢ 83¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? No 87¢ 92¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 13? No 88¢ 95¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? No 63¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? No 88¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? No 90¢ 90¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? No 79¢ 69¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 +$2 +29%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10? Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $3 +$1 +22%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 9? Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 9? Jun 10 $2 $0 +17%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 10 $7 +$3 +42%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +27%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 09 $2 +$1 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 8? Jun 09 $1 $0 +47%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 8? Jun 09 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 8? Jun 08 $5 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 7? Jun 08 $3 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on June 7? Jun 08 $3 +$1 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 6? Jun 07 $1 $0 +32%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 6? Jun 07 $1 $0 +13%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 07 $2 $0 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 6? Jun 07 $2 +$1 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 6? Jun 07 $4 +$1 +28%
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6? Jun 07 $6 +$2 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 6? Jun 06 $3 +$1 +29%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 5? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 5? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 5? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5? Jun 06 $2 +$1 +41%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 6? Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 5? Jun 05 $1 $0 +14%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 5? Jun 05 $1 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4? Jun 05 $1 +$1 +63%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on June 4? Jun 05 $1 $0 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 4? Jun 05 $8 +$4 +46%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3? Jun 05 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 4? Jun 05 $6 +$2 +28%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 4? Jun 04 $2 $0 +16%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 4? Jun 04 $2 $0 +23%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 4? Jun 04 $4 +$2 +52%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 3? Jun 04 $3 +$1 +21%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3? Jun 04 $1 $0 +11%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3? Jun 04 $8 +$3 +34%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3? Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 3? Jun 03 $5 +$3 +51%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 2? Jun 03 $1 $0 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 2? Jun 02 $1 $0 +25%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 1? Jun 02 $2 +$1 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 1? Jun 02 $1 +$1 +61%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 1? Jun 02 $1 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 99% −$58
politics 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? BUY No 63¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 13? BUY No 88¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? BUY No 88¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 88¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 87¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? BUY No 38¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 80¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? BUY No 38¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? BUY No 38¢ $1 2h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 88¢ $1 5h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 13? BUY No 79¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 86¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 13? BUY No 90¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 13? BUY No 46¢ $1 6h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 77¢ $1 35h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 76¢ $1 35h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 76¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 76¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $1 36h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 78¢ $1 44h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? BUY No 78¢ $1 44h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 85¢ $1 44h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 83¢ $1 44h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 82¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY No 85¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? BUY No 86¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10? BUY No 75¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10? BUY No 75¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 10? BUY No 75¢ $1 2d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 10? BUY No 84¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 -6.4% -15.3% 74% 74% -25.5%
≤30d 180 +1.8% -7.9% 80% 80% -9.2%
≤90d 628 -2.3% -11.6% 79% 71% -12.5%
all 629 -2.3% -11.6% 79% 70% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.6% 70% -12.5%
10% -20.1% 38% -20.9%
15% -27.8% 15% -28.5%
20% -34.9% 5% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.16 · official $14.18 (match) · 2364 history records