Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:15:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E2
0xe215…a82a
crypto · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$2 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses11 / 14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage8d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 7? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 8? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 8? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 19 million barrels per day in Jun 07 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -83%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 07 $1 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 8? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 8? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1 +$2 +146%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 7? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $2 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$2
weather 7% −$1
other 2% −$1
finance 2% $0
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $8 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 6d
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June? SELL Yes 14¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 7d
Will OPEC crude oil production be above 19 million barrels per day in SELL No 95¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-36.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -25.8% -32.9% 50% 38% -10.8%
≤30d 25 -29.6% -36.3% 44% 28% -16.2%
≤90d 25 -29.6% -36.3% 44% 28% -16.2%
all 25 -29.6% -36.3% 44% 28% -16.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.3% 28% -16.2%
10% -42.4% 20% -24.2%
15% -48.0% 12% -31.5%
20% -53.1% 12% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 57 history records