Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T12:17:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe1f7…d294 crypto 204 markets active 0h ago coverage 48d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$19 (-1%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate57%117W / 87L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day10.3pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit80%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$91
14 days−$91
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$82
sports 5% −$14
other 5% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 185 -6.7% -15.5% 59% 32% -14.0%
≤30d 185 -6.7% -15.5% 59% 32% -14.0%
≤90d 204 -8.7% -17.4% 57% 33% -14.7%
all 204 -8.7% -17.4% 57% 33% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.4% 33% -14.7%
10% -25.3% 15% -22.8%
15% -32.5% 7% -30.3%
20% -39.2% 6% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
42% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -15% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.48 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.65 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

48d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses117 / 87
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)204 / 204
History coverage48d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 204 Trades
no open positions (66 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $50 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 26 $11 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 26 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 26 $36 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 26 $25 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 26 $45 −$20 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $61 −$18 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $35 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 26 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 26 $20 −$10 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 26 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 26 $15 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$20 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $15 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 26 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $25 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $32 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $13 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $11 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $11 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $36 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $10 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $12 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $25 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $39 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 537 history records