Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:42:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1ed…edbb
crypto · 219 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,160 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,050 · open +$110
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$484
Realized+$3,050
Unrealized+$110
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses140 / 73
Open positions6
Markets (closed)213 / 219
History coverage14d
Avg bet$62
Trades / day232.6
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$840
7 days+$819
14 days+$2,986
30 days+$3,050
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $100 $162 +$63 (+63%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $100 $144 +$44 (+44%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? No 56¢ 65¢ $112 $131 +$18 (+16%)
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30? No 51¢ 38¢ $51 $38 −$14 (-26%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No 42¢ 38¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 64¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$12 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$156 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$70 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $83 +$49 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$127 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$55 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$51 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $124 −$88 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $104 +$68 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$50 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $91 −$84 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $107 +$128 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$43 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $83 −$28 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$15 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$50 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$134 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $83 +$95 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$53 +131%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$17 +161%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $104 −$65 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$95 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$261 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 11 $103 +$71 +69%
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Will "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Of Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Jun 04 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 31 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 31 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 31 $83 −$44 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 31 $46 +$74 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 31 $104 +$113 +109%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$3,116
other 2% +$93
tech 1% +$18
weather 0% −$35
culture 0% −$21
world 0% −$1
politics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $24 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 65¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $9 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $24 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $24 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $59 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $16 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $9 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+8.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 43 +13.3% +2.5% 56% 49% +22.5%
≤30d 213 +19.6% +8.2% 66% 62% +11.6%
≤90d 213 +19.6% +8.2% 66% 62% +11.6%
all 213 +19.6% +8.2% 66% 62% +11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover232.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.2% 62% +11.6%
10% ← realistic here -2.2% 59% +0.9%
15% -11.6% 47% -8.8%
20% -20.3% 39% -17.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $484.12 · official $484.15 (match) · 3500 history records