Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1ea…54cf
crypto · 1266 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$150 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$59
Realized−$145
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses504 / 806
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1310 / 1266
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day805.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1310 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$137
7 days−$145
14 days−$145
30 days−$145
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 48¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+106%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 54¢ 74¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 50¢ 74¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+67%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 54¢ 26¢ $5 $3 −$3 (-51%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 63¢ 25¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 60¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 65¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 55¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 63¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 56¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 53¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 50¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 49¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 57¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 23m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 43m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1310 +6.3% -3.9% 38% 36% -11.4%
≤30d 1310 +6.3% -3.9% 38% 36% -11.4%
≤90d 1310 +6.3% -3.9% 38% 36% -11.4%
all 1310 +6.3% -3.9% 38% 36% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover805.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 36% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 31% -19.9%
15% -21.5% 30% -27.7%
20% -29.2% 29% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $58.60 · official $57.33 · 3500 history records