Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1e7…5fb6
politics · 152 markets active 211d ago
0.0score
−$51,016 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51,016 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$51,016
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses42 / 110
Whale WR (big bets)45%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)152 / 152
History coverage486d
Avg bet$11,050
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 152 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $315 $0 −$315 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1,297 $0 −$1,297 (-100%)
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? No 58¢ 0¢ $567 $0 −$567 (-100%)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $694 $0 −$694 (-100%)
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $3,398 $0 −$3,398 (-100%)
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $1,308 $0 −$1,308 (-100%)
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 Yes 15¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $12,982 $0 −$12,982 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1,336 $0 −$1,336 (-100%)
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $6,773 $0 −$6,773 (-100%)
Bitcoin above $116K on September 5? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Dec 30 $5,000 +$165 +3%
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? Dec 30 $5,000 +$3,525 +70%
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? Dec 30 $30,000 +$5,498 +18%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb Nov 13 $694 −$694 -100%
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? Nov 09 $567 −$567 -100%
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? Nov 09 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Nov 06 $8,034 −$7,472 -93%
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 Nov 04 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo? Nov 04 $1 +$1 +108%
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Nov 04 $39,157 −$25,646 -66%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 27 $121,595 −$64,117 -53%
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? Oct 27 $4,016 −$3,338 -83%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Oct 17 $3,399 −$3,398 -100%
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025? Oct 10 $3,000 +$163 +5%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Oct 09 $2,685 −$2,295 -86%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Oct 09 $1,297 −$1,297 -100%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? Oct 04 $1,020 −$579 -57%
Will Eric Adams drop out? Sep 29 $61,495 +$42,526 +69%
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30? Sep 28 $4,664 +$2,386 +51%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? Sep 16 $9,537 −$2,507 -26%
Will Eric Adams drop out first? Sep 09 $500 +$18 +4%
Bitcoin above $114K on September 5? Sep 05 $433 −$144 -33%
Bitcoin above $110K on September 5? Sep 05 $200 −$143 -71%
Bitcoin above $116K on September 5? Sep 05 $100 −$100 -100%
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? Aug 11 $888 −$296 -33%
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31? Jul 30 $528 −$239 -45%
Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jul 30 $700 −$293 -42%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? Jul 25 $2,260 −$952 -42%
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August? Jul 23 $425 −$294 -69%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? Jul 22 $2,294 +$115 +5%
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July? Jul 20 $1,196 −$1,124 -94%
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Jul 16 $11,511 −$4,539 -39%
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? Jul 13 $1,742 −$884 -51%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on July 9? Jul 07 $149 −$51 -34%
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files? Jul 03 $31 −$31 -100%
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Jul 03 $88 −$88 -100%
UFC 317: Royval vs. Van Jul 03 $100 +$56 +56%
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-France Jun 29 $90 −$32 -35%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? Jun 29 $900 −$256 -28%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Jun 26 $30,097 −$8,101 -27%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? Jun 25 $249 −$102 -41%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? Jun 25 $315 −$315 -100%
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? Jun 23 $8,000 −$3,602 -45%
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2025? Jun 23 $1,150 −$1,150 -100%
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? Jun 23 $7,410 −$7,410 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? Jun 23 $10,214 −$5,868 -58%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? Jun 23 $1,356 −$1,356 -100%
Was JFK assassination an inside job? Jun 23 $6,446 −$4,590 -71%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? Jun 23 $8,118 −$6,628 -82%
US military action against Iran before July? Jun 23 $1,296 +$545 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 77% −$25,625
other 12% +$34,602
economics 5% −$49,426
world 5% −$7,884
crypto 0% −$1,167
sports 0% +$476
culture 0% −$1,297
tech 0% −$694
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $182 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $26 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $21 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $32 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $227 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $49 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $2 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $2 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $7 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $10 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $60 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $1 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $8 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $3 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 6¢ $54 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $4 210d
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Novemb BUY Yes 7¢ $7 210d
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? SELL No 54¢ $1,617 210d
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? BUY No 58¢ $567 214d
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? BUY Yes 29¢ $1,000 214d
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? BUY Yes 3¢ $750 218d
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? BUY No 85¢ $30,000 220d
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? BUY No 59¢ $5,000 220d
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 BUY Yes 15¢ $1,500 220d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 9¢ $2,570 220d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 5¢ $1,519 224d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 4¢ $394 228d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 4¢ $38 228d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 4¢ $0 228d
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 228d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-39.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d no closed markets
all 152 -33.6% -39.9% 28% 21% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.9% 21% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -45.7% 16% -19.9%
15% -50.9% 14% -27.6%
20% -55.7% 9% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records