Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:57:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1e5…400a
crypto · 312 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$22 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$21
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses167 / 144
Open positions1
Markets (closed)311 / 312
History coverage60d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day18.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 311 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$38
14 days−$38
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Down 20¢ 16¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$13 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$15 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $27 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $29 +$2 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$22
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 127 -5.3% -14.3% 52% 33% -13.6%
≤30d 147 -9.5% -18.1% 48% 31% -15.1%
≤90d 311 -0.9% -10.3% 54% 32% -10.3%
all 311 -0.9% -10.3% 54% 32% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 32% -10.3%
10% -18.9% 22% -18.9%
15% -26.7% 17% -26.8%
20% -33.9% 14% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.30 · official $3.10 (match) · 1311 history records