trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -15.1% | -23.2% | 14% | 0% | -12.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -10.4% | -19.0% | 20% | 0% | -11.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -10.4% | -19.0% | 20% | 0% | -11.7% |
| all | 28 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 29% | 0% | -10.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.8% | 0% | -10.9% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -19.4% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -27.2% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 0% | -34.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 14 | $29 | −$2 | -6% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $57 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $23 | +$1 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 12 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 11 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | -14% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Dec 13 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Jul 03 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 27 | $3 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Jun 27 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election | Jun 24 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| US military action against Iran by Friday? | Jun 22 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Jun 18 | $6 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jun 16 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 0-3%? | Jun 14 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July? | Jun 14 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 13 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Jun 12 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Larry Ellison buy TikTok before July? | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 09 | $2 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times June 6–13? | Jun 09 | $21 | $0 | -1% |