Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T00:55:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe1c7…acd5 crypto 1462 markets active 2h ago coverage 78d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$61 (-1%) realized −$61 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate72%1055W / 407L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$7per market
Trades / day27.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$113
14 days−$61
30 days−$84
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$226
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-10.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -3.9% -13.1% 48% 24% -13.8%
≤30d 339 +4.2% -5.7% 54% 28% -10.9%
≤90d 1462 -1.2% -10.6% 72% 9% -11.4%
all 1462 -1.2% -10.6% 72% 9% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.6% 9% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 2% -19.9%
15% -27.0% 1% -27.6%
20% -34.1% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
86% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.25 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.66 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

78d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$61
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses1055 / 407
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1462 / 1462
History coverage78d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day27.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1462 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $101 −$19 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 17 $66 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$22 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $102 −$20 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $101 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $101 −$17 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $100 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $116 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $12 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 16 $51 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $28 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $51 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $55 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $38 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 15 $43 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $37 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$10 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $36 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $38 +$17 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$25 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$45 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $60 −$3 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$5 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$43 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$13 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $50 −$24 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $104 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $16 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $82 −$3 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $70 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $66 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $122 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $101 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $80 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $102 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $111 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $101 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $83 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $101 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $95 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $100 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $39 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $72 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $116 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $11 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $12 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $16 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $12 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $53 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $29 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $28 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $61 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $51 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $62 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.24 · official $0.00 (match) · 3395 history records