trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Up | 40¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Down | 25¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Down | 54¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$3 (-100%) |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Down | 4¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | Jun 12 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | Jun 12 | $3 | +$4 | +118% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Jun 12 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Jun 12 | $8 | +$2 | +23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +17% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Jun 12 | $8 | +$2 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | Jun 12 | $6 | +$1 | +22% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Jun 12 | $5 | −$1 | -18% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 50% | 50% | -31.9% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 50% | 50% | -31.9% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 50% | 50% | -31.9% |
| all | 16 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 50% | 50% | -31.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -33.5% | 50% | -31.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -39.9% | 25% | -38.5% |
| 15% | -45.7% | 12% | -44.4% |
| 20% | -51.0% | 6% | -49.9% |