Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:49:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe1b8…b686
crypto · 268 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$105 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses118 / 149
Open positions1
Markets (closed)267 / 268
History coverage112d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 267 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$9
7 days+$8
14 days+$12
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 51¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs Team Liquid 54¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$5 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$5 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$121
sports 6% −$9
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $0 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 -0.8% -10.2% 44% 44% -6.9%
≤30d 210 -2.3% -11.6% 45% 44% -11.3%
≤90d 210 -2.3% -11.6% 45% 44% -11.3%
all 267 -5.3% -14.3% 44% 43% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.3% 43% -16.5%
10% -22.5% 42% -24.5%
15% -30.0% 41% -31.8%
20% -36.9% 40% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.73 · official $4.56 · 532 history records