Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:47:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe196…0a92
crypto · 267 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$520 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$393 · open −$127
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$178
Realized−$393
Unrealized−$127
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses242 / 21
Open positions4
Markets (closed)263 / 267
History coverage21d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day15.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$33
14 days−$376
30 days−$393
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $127 $139 +$11 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $40 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-98%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Yes 71¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4? Yes 93¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on June 5? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 1? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1? Yes 87¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 3? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 4? Yes 86¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7? Yes 70¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 31? Yes 85¢ 0¢ $426 $0 −$426 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? Jun 12 $46 +$22 +48%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? Jun 11 $48 +$13 +27%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? Jun 11 $27 +$2 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? Jun 11 $40 +$6 +15%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? Jun 11 $40 +$3 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10? Jun 10 $40 +$2 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $40 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $40 +$5 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10? Jun 10 $46 +$4 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? Jun 10 $49 +$15 +30%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10? Jun 10 $40 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 9? Jun 10 $46 +$2 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8? Jun 08 $41 −$40 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 7? Jun 08 $40 +$5 +11%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 5? Jun 08 $30 +$6 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 7? Jun 07 $40 +$2 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 7? Jun 07 $40 +$2 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 7? Jun 07 $40 +$4 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on June 7? Jun 07 $40 +$1 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 7? Jun 07 $40 +$1 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 7? Jun 07 $41 −$40 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 07 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 93% −$502
crypto 7% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $40 17m
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 71¢ $41 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 70¢ $41 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? BUY Yes 71¢ $41 1h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 12? BUY Yes 16¢ $19 2h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 93¢ $40 3h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 93¢ $40 3h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 92¢ $7 3h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on June 12? BUY Yes 89¢ $40 3h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? BUY Yes 76¢ $6 19h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? BUY Yes 65¢ $41 19h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? BUY Yes 78¢ $8 27h
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 11? BUY Yes 78¢ $40 27h
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 11? BUY Yes 93¢ $27 28h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 11? BUY Yes 87¢ $40 33h
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? SELL Yes 100¢ $45 44h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10? SELL Yes 100¢ $50 44h
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? SELL Yes 100¢ $64 44h
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10? BUY Yes 93¢ $40 47h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10? BUY Yes 94¢ $40 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10? BUY Yes 92¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10? BUY Yes 89¢ $40 2d
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 10? BUY Yes 97¢ $40 2d
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on June 10? BUY Yes 91¢ $40 2d
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 10? BUY Yes 96¢ $40 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? BUY Yes 84¢ $5 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? BUY Yes 77¢ $22 2d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 10? BUY Yes 73¢ $22 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 9? BUY Yes 95¢ $6 2d
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 9? BUY Yes 95¢ $40 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -0.6% -10.1% 93% 18% -7.0%
≤30d 263 -3.5% -12.7% 92% 11% -21.9%
≤90d 263 -3.5% -12.7% 92% 11% -21.9%
all 263 -3.5% -12.7% 92% 11% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 11% -21.9%
10% -21.1% 5% -29.3%
15% -28.7% 2% -36.2%
20% -35.7% 0% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $178.46 · official $178.46 (match) · 565 history records