trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 7 | -32.8% | -39.2% | 29% | 14% | -67.2% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -44.7% | -50.0% | 26% | 21% | -62.3% |
| all | 19 | -44.7% | -50.0% | 26% | 21% | -62.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -50.0% | 21% | -62.3% |
| 10% | -54.8% | 16% | -65.9% |
| 15% | -59.2% | 11% | -69.2% |
| 20% | -63.2% | 11% | -72.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 14¢ | 10¢ | $43,929 | $30,009 | −$13,920 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$2 | +30% |
| 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | Jun 06 | $1,097 | −$1,085 | -99% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? | Jun 05 | $1,935 | −$846 | -44% |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 05 | $22 | −$21 | -97% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 | May 23 | $144 | −$143 | -100% |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21? | May 21 | $51 | +$9 | +17% |
| 1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5) | May 21 | $51 | +$42 | +83% |
| Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | May 20 | $151 | +$135 | +90% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 19 | $105 | −$40 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | May 19 | $52 | −$38 | -72% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds - Game 1 Winner | May 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5 | May 09 | $47 | −$46 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | May 08 | $130 | −$128 | -98% |
| Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 08 | $54 | −$52 | -96% |