Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T16:26:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe17b…5f8a crypto 1104 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 31d only
✗ bot/MM pace (79 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$417 (+1%) realized +$417 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate51%558W / 546L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day78.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$424
7 days+$300
14 days+$138
30 days+$138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$94
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (79 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 939 +3.0% -6.8% 46% 46% -8.5%
≤30d 965 +2.7% -7.1% 46% 45% -9.1%
≤90d 1104 +2.3% -7.4% 51% 44% -9.2%
all 1104 +2.3% -7.4% 51% 44% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 44% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 39% -17.9%
15% -24.4% 36% -25.9%
20% -31.8% 31% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$26 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$417
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses558 / 546
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1104 / 1104
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day78.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1104 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$21 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$15 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $3 −$2 -67%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$67 +218%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$4 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$13 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$35 +112%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$8 +151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$43 +139%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 25 $5 +$34 +640%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 25 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$46 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 25 $3 +$5 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$17 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$30 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$27 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 25 $30 −$23 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 25 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$29 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$37 +119%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 25 $30 +$6 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 25 $29 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 25 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 25 $3 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 25 $31 +$29 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $31 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $31 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $3 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $3 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $32 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $30 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $31 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $18 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 54m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $1 57m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $31 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $31 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records