Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:25:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe16d…5e30
sports · 285 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
−$2,731,696 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,731,696 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,731,696
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses144 / 277
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Est. fees paid−$121,558
Open positions0
Markets (closed)421 / 285
Avg bet$30,131
Trades / day128.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 421 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,782,275
7 days−$2,413,759
14 days−$2,045,594
30 days−$2,731,696
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A GamerLegion 17¢ 0¢ $3,960 $0 −$3,960 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 54¢ 0¢ $65,986 $0 −$65,986 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $43,319 $0 −$43,319 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Tundra Esports 54¢ 0¢ $20,824 $0 −$20,824 (-100%)
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 59¢ 0¢ $1,975 $0 −$1,975 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A GamerLegion 20¢ 0¢ $3,410 $0 −$3,410 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Team Yandex 33¢ 0¢ $2,548 $0 −$2,548 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner L1ga Team 62¢ 0¢ $9,165 $0 −$9,165 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Team Falcons 53¢ 0¢ $35,490 $0 −$35,490 (-100%)
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) BetBoom Team 44¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B REKONIX 27¢ 0¢ $636 $0 −$636 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 67¢ 0¢ $25,744 $0 −$25,744 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PlayTime 45¢ 0¢ $30,710 $0 −$30,710 (-100%)
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner Virtus.pro 44¢ 0¢ $34,014 $0 −$34,014 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 47¢ 0¢ $29,956 $0 −$29,956 (-100%)
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Vici Gaming 41¢ 0¢ $2,300 $0 −$2,300 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner GamerLegion 26¢ 0¢ $2,999 $0 −$2,999 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Team Yandex 50¢ 0¢ $19,096 $0 −$19,096 (-100%)
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Heroic 53¢ 0¢ $41,410 $0 −$41,410 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner PARIVISION 54¢ 0¢ $47,331 $0 −$47,331 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 58¢ 0¢ $9,760 $0 −$9,760 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Tundra Esports 47¢ 0¢ $40,000 $0 −$40,000 (-100%)
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Aurora 35¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Team Yandex 39¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5) Team Spirit 39¢ 0¢ $1,400 $0 −$1,400 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $20,824 −$20,824 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $1,975 −$1,975 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $2,548 −$2,548 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $9,165 −$9,165 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $35,490 −$35,490 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Jun 12 $636 −$636 -100%
Dota 2: Heroic vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $34,014 −$34,014 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A Jun 12 $2,300 −$2,300 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $19,096 −$19,096 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $41,410 −$41,410 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $47,331 −$47,331 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $52,797 −$52,797 -100%
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $35,656 −$35,656 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $8,600 −$8,600 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $36,585 −$36,585 -100%
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Jun 12 $45,088 −$45,088 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B Jun 12 $18,600 −$18,600 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $15,062 −$15,062 -100%
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6,469 −$6,469 -100%
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B Jun 12 $2,430 −$2,430 -100%
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Jun 12 $1,149 −$1,149 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,200 −$2,200 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Roar Gaming (BO1) - ACL X ESL Challenger Chin Jun 12 $650 −$650 -100%
Dota 2: 1win vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $20,775 −$20,775 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,100 −$5,100 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $19,182 −$19,182 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs 1win - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3,700 −$3,700 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $27,778 −$27,778 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Pla Jun 12 $12,380 −$12,380 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $9,109 −$9,109 -100%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs REKONIX - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $60,575 −$60,575 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Spirit (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $69,543 −$69,543 -100%
Game Handicap: Na`Vi (-1.5) vs REKONIX (+1.5) Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $30,443 −$30,443 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,200 −$1,200 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,075 −$2,075 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,939 −$3,939 -100%
Dota 2: MOUZ vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $3,939 −$3,939 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $46,125 −$46,125 -100%
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7,200 −$7,200 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,160 −$3,160 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $48,129 −$48,129 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $42,247 −$42,247 -100%
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,920 −$4,920 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $29,638 −$29,638 -100%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Jun 12 $40,386 −$40,386 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs Jun 12 $4,600 −$4,600 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs Jun 12 $53,708 −$53,708 -100%
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6,600 −$6,600 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$61,860
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 48¢ $102 41h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 48¢ $102 41h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 46¢ $102 41h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 39¢ $102 41h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 60¢ $1,012 42h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 58¢ $101 44h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 53¢ $101 45h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 57¢ $115 45h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 53¢ $1,014 45h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 56¢ $101 45h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 55¢ $101 45h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 55¢ $2,027 45h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 62¢ $3,034 46h
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) BUY Yellow Submarine 34¢ $61 46h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 62¢ $2,023 46h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 59¢ $304 46h
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) BUY Yellow Submarine 33¢ $31 46h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 61¢ $708 46h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 60¢ $202 46h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 59¢ $202 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 60¢ $1,012 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 61¢ $3,035 47h
Game Handicap: YeS (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5) BUY Yellow Submarine 33¢ $31 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 60¢ $101 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 61¢ $1,012 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 59¢ $304 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 61¢ $1,012 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 61¢ $1,012 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner BUY Yellow Submarine 61¢ $1,012 47h
Dota 2: Level UP vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Yellow Submarine 61¢ $3,035 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-41.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 169 -78.4% -80.5% 12% 12% -58.8%
≤30d 421 -34.8% -41.0% 34% 34% -31.3%
≤90d 421 -34.8% -41.0% 34% 34% -31.3%
all 421 -34.8% -41.0% 34% 34% -31.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover128.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.0% 34% -31.3%
10% -46.7% 34% -37.9%
15% ← realistic here -51.8% 32% -43.9%
20% -56.5% 29% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records