Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:31:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe167…c0e6
other · 26 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$169 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$629 · open −$460
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$478
Realized+$629
Unrealized−$460
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses3 / 13
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions10
Markets (closed)16 / 26
History coverage2d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day20.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit19%
Chart Positions 10 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$654
7 days+$629
14 days+$629
30 days+$629
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $296 $287 −$9 (-3%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Yes $53 $46 −$7 (-13%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Yes $50 $46 −$4 (-8%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-24? Yes 17¢ 14¢ $26 $22 −$4 (-15%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ $410 $1 −$409 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Yes $22 $0 −$22 (-99%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 14¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Yes $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa? Yes $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 46¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 14 $51 −$14 -26%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? Jun 14 $83 −$26 -32%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $776 +$953 +123%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 +$17 +980%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $101 +$657 +649%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $246 −$223 -91%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? Jun 13 $57 −$15 -26%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? Jun 13 $140 −$27 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $57 −$55 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $37 −$36 -99%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $133 −$97 -73%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $582 −$450 -77%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15 −$15 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 67% −$1,301
sports 32% +$1,500
crypto 1% −$30
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 5m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 12¢ $51 5m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes $51 5m
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? SELL Yes $38 8m
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes $56 10m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $1,729 22m
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 45¢ $267 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 43¢ $509 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? SELL Yes 100¢ $19 3h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $758 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $109 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $270 3h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes $23 3h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes $23 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $42 4h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? SELL Yes $42 4h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $101 7h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $113 8h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? SELL Yes $112 8h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes $135 9h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes $2 18h
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $303 19h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $78 19h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $26 19h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes $42 28h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $57 29h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $37 44h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL Yes $36 44h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)+36.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +50.4% +36.1% 19% 19% +15.0%
≤30d 16 +50.4% +36.1% 19% 19% +15.0%
≤90d 16 +50.4% +36.1% 19% 19% +15.0%
all 16 +50.4% +36.1% 19% 19% +15.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +36.1% 19% +15.0%
10% ← realistic here +23.1% 19% +4.0%
15% +11.2% 19% -6.0%
20% +0.3% 19% -15.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $477.85 · official $477.85 (match) · 50 history records