Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:30:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe157…51eb
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,797 +52%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,618 · open +$180
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,030
Realized+$4,618
Unrealized+$180
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses5 / 55
Open positions5
Markets (closed)60 / 64
Avg bet$144
Trades / day259.8
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 60 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,282
7 days−$1,870
14 days+$4,618
30 days+$4,618
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $689 $977 +$287 (+42%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $90 $42 −$48 (-53%)
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $60 $8 −$52 (-87%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $8 $2 −$6 (-75%)
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes 19¢ 13¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-32%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 7? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $440 $0 −$440 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? No 0¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Up 1¢ 0¢ $129 $0 −$129 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $139 $0 −$139 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $213 $0 −$213 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? No 2¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 1-7? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $381 $0 −$381 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 11 $110 −$110 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $13 −$13 -94%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $1,373 +$1,444 +105%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Jun 10 $29 −$28 -94%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $184 −$178 -97%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $440 −$440 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $130 −$129 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $398 −$390 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $210 −$209 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $81 −$81 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $150 −$150 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 08 $230 −$226 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $118 −$116 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 9? Jun 08 $6 −$5 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $26 −$25 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $152 −$151 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 08 $40 −$40 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $222 −$221 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $70 −$64 -92%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 8? Jun 07 $12 −$11 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $149 −$143 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $114 −$106 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $141 −$139 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $798 −$273 -34%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $265 −$253 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $334 −$328 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $224 −$213 -95%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 1-7? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 05 $300 +$1,870 +624%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $23 −$23 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 4? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 4? Jun 05 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 3? Jun 05 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 2? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? Jun 05 $139 −$135 -97%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3? Jun 05 $22 −$22 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? Jun 05 $333 −$333 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3? Jun 05 $51 −$51 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 05 $303 −$303 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 7? Jun 05 $7 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 02 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 02 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% +$3,550
finance 20% +$1,012
tech 8% +$287
other 1% −$52
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 4m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 7m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 9m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 11m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 11m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 12m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 13m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 21m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 31m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -55.9% -60.1% 4% 4% -39.1%
≤30d 60 -5.9% -14.9% 8% 8% +52.9%
≤90d 60 -5.9% -14.9% 8% 8% +52.9%
all 60 -5.9% -14.9% 8% 8% +52.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover259.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 8% +52.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 8% +38.3%
15% -30.5% 8% +24.9%
20% -37.3% 8% +12.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,029.92 · official $1,029.92 (match) · 3500 history records