Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T21:43:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe13f…eb14 crypto 721 markets active 1h ago coverage 23d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$40 (-1%) realized −$40 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate92%662W / 59L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day32.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$4
14 days−$66
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 346 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 12% -9.3%
≤30d 721 -2.0% -11.3% 92% 9% -10.9%
≤90d 721 -2.0% -11.3% 92% 9% -10.9%
all 721 -2.0% -11.3% 92% 9% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover32.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.3% 9% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 5% -19.4%
15% -27.5% 3% -27.2%
20% -34.6% 2% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

23d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses662 / 59
Open positions0
Markets (closed)721 / 721
History coverage23d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 721 Trades
no open positions (47 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 16 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 16 $13 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 16 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $8 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $8 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1420 history records