Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T17:54:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe134…b4a7 crypto 1332 markets active 2h ago coverage 49d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 48d only
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$605 (-8%) realized −$605 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate62%831W / 501L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day56.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$286
7 days−$234
14 days−$199
30 days−$198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$660
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -17.8% -25.6% 78% 3% -22.4%
≤30d 171 -15.0% -23.1% 81% 4% -19.3%
≤90d 1332 -8.0% -16.8% 62% 49% -17.3%
all 1332 -8.0% -16.8% 62% 49% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 49% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 17% -25.2%
15% -32.0% 10% -32.5%
20% -38.7% 8% -39.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.4 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$605
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses831 / 501
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1332 / 1332
History coverage49d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day56.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1332 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET Jun 22 $70 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET Jun 22 $70 +$4 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 22 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 22 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 22 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 22 $6 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET Jun 21 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9AM ET Jun 21 $35 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6AM ET Jun 21 $35 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 21 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 21 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2AM ET Jun 21 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12AM ET Jun 21 $25 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12AM ET Jun 21 $24 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 21 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 21 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET Jun 20 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 20 $3 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $70 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $35 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $35 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $35 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 9AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $35 28h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $6 29h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $35 30h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 30h
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 34h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 2AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 35h
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 12AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 37h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 39h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 41h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $25 44h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 46h
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 2PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 47h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $6 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records