Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:37:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe115…6735
world · 29 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$8 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP world specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses14 / 15
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage480d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 0 History 29 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$1
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 13 $46 $0 -0%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $46 $0 +0%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 11 $42 $0 -0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 10 $56 +$1 +2%
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Jun 10 $47 $0 +0%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 10 $47 $0 +0%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia Jun 09 $40 $0 -1%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 09 $45 $0 +1%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 08 $6 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 06 $41 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 06 $46 $0 +0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 05 $45 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Jun 05 $42 −$1 -3%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 05 $7 $0 -6%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 03 $42 $0 +0%
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Jun 03 $40 +$7 +18%
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? Dec 15 $2 $0 -0%
Will Benfica win the FIFA Club World Cup? Dec 15 $1 $0 +2%
Will Pedri win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Dec 15 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series? Jun 28 $7 $0 +5%
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times May 23–30? May 31 $1 $0 +1%
Will Mario Grech be the next pope? May 10 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? Apr 17 $8 $0 +0%
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? Apr 15 $8 $0 +1%
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair? Apr 13 $8 $0 -0%
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? Apr 12 $8 $0 +0%
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? Mar 19 $9 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February Mar 03 $8 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 85% +$7
other 11% $0
crypto 1% $0
tech 1% $0
economics 1% $0
weather 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 96¢ $46 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 96¢ $46 3h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $11 9h
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $11 11h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL No 94¢ $46 20h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $46 20h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $15 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $27 2d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 96¢ $42 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 61¢ $43 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 61¢ $4 2d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 61¢ $47 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? SELL No 87¢ $47 2d
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? BUY No 87¢ $47 2d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 44¢ $33 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? SELL Yes 44¢ $14 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 44¢ $11 3d
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? BUY Yes 44¢ $36 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? SELL Yes 30¢ $10 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? BUY Yes 26¢ $9 3d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $9 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia SELL Yes 55¢ $31 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 56¢ $18 4d
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia BUY Yes 55¢ $23 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? SELL No 97¢ $45 4d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? BUY No 96¢ $45 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $6 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 97¢ $6 4d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 72¢ $32 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 72¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +0.2% -9.4% 25% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 17 +0.6% -9.0% 29% 6% -8.6%
≤90d 17 +0.6% -9.0% 29% 6% -8.6%
all 29 -2.4% -11.7% 48% 3% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 3% -8.5%
10% -20.2% 0% -17.3%
15% -27.9% 0% -25.3%
20% -34.9% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records