Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe112…0fde
crypto · 4 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$1 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses2 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day11.0
Drawdown89%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$11 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +6.6% -3.6% 50% 50% -6.3%
≤30d 4 +6.6% -3.6% 50% 50% -6.3%
≤90d 4 +6.6% -3.6% 50% 50% -6.3%
all 4 +6.6% -3.6% 50% 50% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.6% 50% -6.3%
10% -12.8% 50% -15.2%
15% -21.2% 50% -23.4%
20% -28.9% 50% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records