trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -45.6% | -50.8% | 7% | 7% | -30.2% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -42.5% | -48.0% | 12% | 12% | -31.3% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -57.5% | -61.6% | 9% | 9% | -46.5% |
| all | 28 | -50.4% | -55.1% | 14% | 7% | -45.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -55.1% | 7% | -45.4% |
| 10% | -59.4% | 7% | -50.6% |
| 15% | -63.4% | 7% | -55.4% |
| 20% | -66.9% | 7% | -59.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | Over | 27¢ | 100¢ | $100 | $370 | +$270 (+270%) |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 2 Japan? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $140 | $2 | −$138 (-99%) |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 3 Japan? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $1 | −$99 (-99%) |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 1 Japan? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-92%) |
| Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 1 Japan? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $102 | +$453 | +442% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 | Jun 20 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 2 - 2 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $91 | −$89 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 20 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 20 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 20 | $2,202 | −$194 | -9% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $176 | −$171 | -98% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $595 | −$37 | -6% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,378 | −$155 | -11% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $264 | −$258 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $206 | −$200 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $103 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will BNB reach $600 in April? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +61% |
| Will BNB dip to $500 in April? | Apr 05 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of March? | Mar 26 | $533 | −$533 | -100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of March? | Mar 25 | $477 | −$477 | -100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,000 by end of March? | Mar 25 | $447 | −$447 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | Mar 24 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of March? | Mar 23 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Mar 22 | $112 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31? | Nov 04 | $16 | $0 | -2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Nov 04 | $111 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | Oct 19 | $99 | −$47 | -47% |
| China x Taiwan military clash by December 31? | Oct 19 | $100 | −$41 | -41% |