Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T20:35:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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E0 0xe0ee…6f1b crypto 1752 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 22d only
✗ bot/MM pace (79 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$184 (+3%) realized +$182 · open +$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR64%break-even
Win rate84%1463W / 285L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day79.1pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$6now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$26
30 days−$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 88% −$70
other 12% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (79 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 +1.0% -8.6% 76% 66% -10.8%
≤30d 1748 -0.5% -10.0% 84% 64% -10.6%
≤90d 1748 -0.5% -10.0% 84% 64% -10.6%
all 1748 -0.5% -10.0% 84% 64% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover79.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 64% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 24% -19.2%
15% -26.5% 8% -27.0%
20% -33.7% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$6
Realized+$182
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses1463 / 285
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1748 / 1752
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day79.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 1748 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 0¢ 76¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 67¢ 88¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 69¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 67¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +36%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $4 $0 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +38%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +29%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 15 $1 +$1 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 5m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 30m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 31m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 59m
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.67 · official $4.29 · 3500 history records