trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 13? | Jun 13 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? | Jun 13 | $22 | −$4 | -19% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju | Jun 13 | $49 | −$3 | -7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Ma | May 21 | $29 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21? | May 21 | $1 | −$1 | -72% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | May 21 | $1 | +$2 | +172% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -4.0% | -13.1% | 33% | 0% | -14.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 33% | 11% | -12.8% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 33% | 11% | -12.8% |
| all | 9 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 33% | 11% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.9% | 11% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -11.3% | 11% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -19.9% | 11% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -27.7% | 11% | -35.8% |