Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:49:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe0d1…7f0d
crypto · 742 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,069 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,061 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$1,061
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses347 / 394
Open positions1
Markets (closed)741 / 742
History coverage37d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day67.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 741 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$45
7 days−$49
14 days−$770
30 days−$987
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 34¢ 98¢ $2 $7 +$5 (+190%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 54¢ 2¢ $8 $0 −$7 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$5 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$10 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$12 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$2 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$4 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$8 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$12 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$11 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $22 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,069
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $8 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $8 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $8 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $8 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $8 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 -7.2% -16.0% 50% 45% -9.9%
≤30d 736 -5.0% -14.1% 47% 40% -14.7%
≤90d 741 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 40% -15.1%
all 741 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 40% -15.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 40% -15.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 36% -23.2%
15% -30.0% 30% -30.6%
20% -36.9% 25% -37.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.25 · official $11.28 · 2999 history records