Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:33:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe0cd…ed2c
crypto · 217 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$134 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses109 / 108
Open positions0
Markets (closed)217 / 217
History coverage38d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day10.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 217 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$16
14 days−$16
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$6 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$165
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $8 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-19.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -4.2% -13.3% 57% 46% -12.4%
≤30d 61 -4.2% -13.3% 57% 46% -12.4%
≤90d 217 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 44% -17.2%
all 217 -10.7% -19.2% 50% 44% -17.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.2% 44% -17.2%
10% -27.0% 40% -25.1%
15% -34.0% 32% -32.4%
20% -40.5% 26% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 495 history records