Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T19:25:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe0c4…75ee crypto 450 markets active 2h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 19d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (156 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$13,891 (+8%) realized +$13,891 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR13%break-even
Win rate80%400W / 103L
Whale WR90%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$367per market
Trades / day156.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$100now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 20d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1,167
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (156 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 -33.3% -39.6% 57% 12% -23.3%
≤30d 503 -10.2% -18.7% 80% 13% -12.8%
≤90d 503 -10.2% -18.7% 80% 13% -12.8%
all 503 -10.2% -18.7% 80% 13% -12.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover156.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 13% -12.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 7% -21.2%
15% -33.6% 4% -28.8%
20% -40.1% 3% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
83% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 90% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -20% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$25 vs −$165 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$100
Realized+$13,891
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses400 / 103
Whale WR (big bets)90%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)503 / 450
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$367
Trades / day156.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 503 Trades
no open positions (92 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 20 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 20 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 20 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $43 −$86 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 20 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 20 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 20 $871 −$871 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 20 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 20 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 20 $555 −$1,110 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 20 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 20 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 20 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 20 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 20 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 20 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 20 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 20 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 20 $331 −$331 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 20 $328 −$328 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 20 $692 −$692 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 20 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 20 $264 −$264 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 20 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $466 −$466 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 20 $256 −$256 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 20 $1,018 −$1,018 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 20 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 20 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $43 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $96 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $84 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.00 · official $100.00 (match) · 3500 history records