Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:01:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe0c2…ddc2
sports · 1550 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$170 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$170 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$6
Realized−$170
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses881 / 662
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions6
Markets (closed)1543 / 1550
History coverage153d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 6 History 1543 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$1
14 days−$19
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 +$0 (+44%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score No 52¢ 52¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +108%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 +$1 +113%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $1 $0 +18%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +24%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $2 $0 +5%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +42%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 06 $1 $0 +17%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03? Jun 04 $1 $0 +27%
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3? Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harris Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02? Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 03 $1 $0 +2%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Alex Marti Pujolras Jun 03 $1 $0 +27%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumich Jun 02 $1 $0 -18%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart Jun 02 $1 +$1 +145%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2? Jun 02 $1 +$2 +172%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 1? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 1? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 1? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 1? Jun 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Birmingham: Elvina Kalieva vs Talia Gibson Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 1? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 31? Jun 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $3 −$1 -43%
CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano: O/U 1.5 Jun 01 $1 $0 +7%
Will CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano end in a draw? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +57%
CD Palestino vs. Audax CS Italiano: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 $0 +3%
Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $1 $0 +22%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 01 $1 $0 +41%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 +$1 +93%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Ecuador vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-30? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30? May 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Little Rock (Doubles): Maginley/Shick vs Padgham/Vrba May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys May 30 $2 −$1 -43%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siegemund/Zvonareva vs Ferro/Parry May 30 $1 $0 -37%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 +$1 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 44% −$66
other 33% −$36
weather 14% −$36
crypto 7% −$26
world 1% −$4
politics 0% −$3
tech 0% $0
culture 0% +$2
finance 0% +$1
economics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $2 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 100¢ $2 7h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 14h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $1 15h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 15h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 26h
Argentina vs. Honduras: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $1 6d
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 95¢ $2 6d
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 80¢ $1 6d
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 6d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $1 8d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-04? BUY Yes 85¢ $1 8d
Will Panama win on 2026-06-03? BUY Yes 78¢ $1 9d
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 4? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 9d
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1 10d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-02? BUY No $1 10d
Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade BUY Andres Andrade 54¢ $1 10d
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carboni BUY Lorenzo Carboni 47¢ $1 10d
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev BUY Alexander Zverev 98¢ $1 10d
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumich SELL Genaro Alberto Olivieri 56¢ $1 10d
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumich BUY Genaro Alberto Olivieri 67¢ $1 10d
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Alex Marti Pujolras BUY Luka Mikrut 78¢ $1 10d
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart SELL Nikola Bartunkova 100¢ $2 10d
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2? SELL Yes 77¢ $3 10d
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart BUY Nikola Bartunkova 40¢ $1 10d
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 4? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -4.9% -14.0% 67% 58% -13.5%
≤30d 220 -9.5% -18.1% 53% 45% -14.9%
≤90d 1122 -9.0% -17.6% 58% 44% -17.3%
all 1543 -9.1% -17.8% 57% 43% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.8% 43% -17.7%
10% -25.6% 33% -25.6%
15% -32.8% 25% -32.8%
20% -39.4% 19% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.40 · official $6.40 (match) · 3500 history records