trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -32.5% | -38.9% | 67% | 0% | -94.8% |
| ≤30d | 16 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 88% | 12% | -26.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 88% | 12% | -26.0% |
| all | 16 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 88% | 12% | -26.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -7.6% | 12% | -26.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -16.4% | 12% | -33.1% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 6% | -39.5% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 6% | -45.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 17¢ | 0¢ | $21,574 | $194 | −$21,380 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $34,354 | −$34,313 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | Jun 11 | $1,012 | +$19 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Jun 11 | $1,005 | +$6 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 06 | $20,000 | +$986 | +5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $24,411 | +$8,186 | +34% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | May 29 | $9,995 | −$71 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | May 26 | $7,475 | +$5,157 | +69% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 25 | $1,000 | +$9 | +1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | May 24 | $1,000 | +$11 | +1% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $1,000 | +$14 | +1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | May 23 | $1,003 | +$58 | +6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 23 | $501 | +$12 | +2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? | May 23 | $490 | +$3 | +1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | May 23 | $3,102 | +$112 | +4% |
| Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | May 20 | $1,003 | +$53 | +5% |
| Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | May 20 | $1,002 | +$41 | +4% |